macroeconomics analysis

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ECON545: Project 2—Macroeconomic Analysis

 

 

 

The Macroeconomic Paper tests your ability to apply economic principles to a business decision considering the impact of macroeconomic variables. Select one situation from the items outlined below: A to D. Complete the paper on the selected situation as specified below. The completed paper is a professional report and is due in Week 6 (260 Points). See the grading rubric at the end of this document. Be sure to use the DeVry library to find data, and avoid questionable sources, such as Wikipedia.

 

 

 

Each of the scenarios has a list of Macroeconomic areas you are to address, with sources, in your answer. Briefly you are to research and show how these apply to your scenario: GDP growth rate (20 points), the business cycle (30 points), fiscal policy and level of unemployment (50 points), monetary policy and interest rates (50 points), international trade (40 points), and demographics (20 points).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Situation A

 

 

 

Rick, your friend, runs a small manufacturing plant that produces parts for the auto industry. Rick is thinking of expanding his operations to meet the increasing demand from car manufacturers. Hearing of your taking this course in business economics, he asks you for advice on how to go about making the expansion decision.

 

 

 

At first you are reluctant to give investment advice, but then you happen to read the piece “U.S. Auto Sales Estimates Cut as Confidence Slows Rebound” on page 634 of the textbook. You suddenly realize that Rick needs to take a number of macroeconomic variables into consideration for the expansion decision. You decide to research the economy in terms of GDP growth rate, interest rates, level of unemployment, the business cycle, fiscal policy, monetary policy, international trade, and demographics. You want to provide Rick with the most informed advice possible.

 

 

 

 

 

Situation B

 

 

 

Your neighbor Cindy wants to start a contracting business for installing solar panels. She has heard of the cost savings that households and businesses can make each year by installing solar panels on their roofs. Cindy has also heard of government incentives for installing solar panels. Being concerned about the environment and wishing to reduce pollution, Cindy thinks installing solar panels also serves a good social purpose. But she does not want to risk her life savings on a venture that might not succeed or become profitable enough. After hearing from you about taking this course in business economics, she decides to ask you for advice.

 

 

 

At first you are hesitant to give investment advice. Then you read the piece “Postal Service Considering Cutting 120,000 Jobs” on page 668 of the textbook. You realize there are more pieces to the decision than Cindy is considering. You decide to research the economy in terms of GDP growth rate, interest rates, level of unemployment, the business cycle, fiscal policy, monetary policy, international trade, and demographics. You want to provide Cindy with the most informed advice possible.

 

 

 

 

 

Situation C

 

 

 

Cousin Edgar is always thinking of the next business idea. This time, he plans to invest in buying four gas stations. He reckons American consumers have come to accept the high gasoline prices, and estimates world prices for gasoline to increase even further with high demand from India and China. Besides, Cousin Edgar thinks he will make a good profit on the sale of convenience items at each station. But before buying the gas stations, he decides to ask for your advice because you are taking this course in business economics.

 

 

 

You happened to read the piece “Bank Lending Signals a Strengthening Economy” on page 856 of the textbook. Cousin Edgar needs financing for his new business, but you realize there are more macroeconomic factors he needs to consider in timing his decision. You decide to research the economy in terms of GDP growth rate, interest rates, level of unemployment, the business cycle, fiscal policy, monetary policy, international trade, and demographics. You want to provide Cousin Edgar with the most informed advice possible.

 

 

 

 

 

Situation D

 

 

 

After hearing of your taking this course in business economics, Uncle Dan has e-mailed you asking for advice on his 100-acre corn farm. He mentioned how, after 30 years of growing corn, he wishes to leave that commodity’s market and enter a more profitable market instead. He is thinking of subdividing his land and building homes and shops. He reckons he could make a good profit by selling the homes and renting the shops.

 

 

 

Before you can find time to answer Uncle Dan’s e-mail, you read the piece “Will the Fed’s New Policies Revitalize the Housing Market?” on page 896 of the textbook. Recognizing the costs and risks for Uncle Dan in making the switch, you decide to research the economy in terms of GDP growth rate, interest rates, level of unemployment, the business cycle, fiscal policy, monetary policy, international trade, and demographics. You decide to educate yourself about macroeconomics so that you can provide Uncle Dan with the most informed advice possible.

 

 


 

 

Macroeconomic Paper as a Professional Report

 

Your paper should be organized into five parts as listed below.

 

 

 

1.       Title Page: Name, class, and date

 

2.       Introduction to situation but do NOT copy the scenario. Briefly summarize the situation and identify the macroeconomic issue(s) to be decided from the perspective of the organization.      

 

 

 

3.       Business Cycles, Unemployment, Inflation, International – Comparative Advantage, Exchange Rates, Trade, Etc., Monetary Policy and Interest Rates, and Fiscal Policy and Unemployment Identify the variables that are critical in addressing the issue(s). Gather and present the relevant data on the variables by searching the DeVry Online Library. Ask a librarian for help if needed. Use in-text citation to report the source(s) of the data. Graphs may be included here.

 

 

 

4.       Recommendations and Economic Justification

 

Formulate and present your recommendations for addressing the issue(s) based on the relevant data and economic principles identified above. Justify your recommendations in terms of the economic impact on those affected.

 

 

 

5.       References

 

List the full references for at least five sources alphabetically in APA format.

 

6.       Page Length – 8 to 12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Grading Rubric

 

 

 

Section

Points earned

Points

Description

Paper Presentation

 

 

10

Good format, citations, lack of spelling errors, etc.; correct Title page and Reference page

Relevant Data:

GDP, Business Cycle, International, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, Demographics

 

 

 

 

 

210

 

GDP (20 points)

Business Cycles, Unemployment, Inflation (30 points)

International (40 points)

Monetary Policy and interest rates (50 points)

Fiscal Policy and unemployment (50 points)

Demographics (20 points)

 

Recommendations

 

40

 

What are your recommendations explained by your analysis?

Total

 

260

 

 

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Ashford 6: – Week 5 – Final Paper

Final Paper


Focus of the Final Paper

The Final Research Paper should address a topic that is connected to the content of this course (elements and requirements of a valid contract; issues related to real and personal property; intellectual property; employment law; and/or, international law and the global marketplace.)  This paper should focus on a legal issue or situation that relates to a business environment or activity with a focus on the legal impact technology has on this issue. Ideally, this topic would concern a matter that you have experienced or that you have knowledge of; however, this not a requirement, only a suggestion. Apply the legal concepts and ethical considerations discussed in this course to your chosen topic. At a minimum this paper should include: 

  • A detailed description of the topic.
  •  An analytical discussion of the legal issues that are involved. This would entail examining the issue from different viewpoints.
  • A discussion of ethical considerations (Remember: What is legal may not be ethical).
  • A discussion of the legal impact technology has on this issue.
  • A well defined and logically stated argument to support your position. This would include any suggestion or ideas for improvement in this area of law.
  • Four research sources

The paper also needs to meet the writing requirements that are set out below under “Writing the Final Research Paper.”

Writing the Final Paper

The Final Paper:
1.    Must be eight to ten double-spaced pages in length, and formatted according to APA style
2.    Must include a title page with the following:

a.    Title of paper

b.    Student’s name

c.    Course name and number

d.    Instructor’s name

e.    Date submitted

3.    Must begin with an introductory paragraph that has a succinct thesis statement.
4.    Must address the topic of the paper with critical thought. That is, what is your response to the content, either positive or negative, and then defend your position. If multiple options/alternatives/positions are present and are being rejected you must also defend the reasons for rejecting an option
5.    Must end with a conclusion that reaffirms your thesis.
6.    Must document all sources in APA style
7.    Must include a separate reference page, formatted according to APA style


 

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. Resources You have decided to begin a new venture and are armed with an understanding of the market for your products or services. How do you figure out what resources (financial and nonfinancial) you will need to bring that product or service to that market? Respond to two of your classmates’ postings. 2. Entrepreneurial Mistakes Over and over again, entrepreneurs make the same mistakes when planning for venture financing. Experienced investors are alert for the pitfalls. Identify three financing pitfalls and what an entrepreneur can do about them. Respond to two of your classmates’ postings.

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Q2: Corruption

About halfway through Chapter 2 in Book One, Gandalf explains what happened to the original ring bearers, the three Elf-lords, seven Dwarf-Kings, and nine mortal men. The only ones who eventually “fell under the dominion of the One” were the nine mortal men. Why were these men especially susceptible to the ring’s corrupting influence, and not the elves or the dwarves? Why them? To help you answer this question, examine the differences between the three groups (elves, dwarves, and men) and what Gandalf reveals about them (if anything). Overall, remember that Tolkien’s choices as a writer all point to specific themes to which readers can relate. Keep that in mind as you answer this question, and remember to use textual evidence in your response.

 

 

 

Summary — The Shadow of the Past

“I wish it need not have happened in my time.”

(See Important Quotations Explained)

Frodo sees little of Gandalf for seventeen years, until Frodo is nearly fifty years old. Odd rumors from the outside world begin to circulate through the Shire—news about an Enemy whose power is again growing in the land of Mordor, as well as tales about Orcs and Trolls and other terrible creatures. Though most Hobbits pay no attention to such gossip, young Sam Gamgee, who tends the garden at Bag End, is very interested.

Gandalf suddenly returns with ominous news. Apparently, the ring that Bilbo left to Frodo is more powerful than Gandalf thought. Gandalf had guessed immediately that it was one of the Rings of Power, made by the Elven-smiths ages ago, but he had not grown alarmed until he saw the strange effects the ring had on Bilbo.

To test the ring, the wizard takes it from Frodo and throws it in the fire. When Gandalf retrieves the ring from the flames, it is cool to the touch. Fiery letters in the language of Mordor appear on the ring, reading, “One Ring to rule them all, One Ring to find them, / One Ring to bring them all and in the darkness bind them.”

Gandalf explains that the ring is the One Ring of Sauron, the Dark Lord. The Ring holds much of Sauron’s power, as it controls the other Great Rings. Long before, three Rings were made for the Elves, seven for the Dwarves, and nine for Men. If Sauron should get hold of the One Ring again, nothing could stop him from enslaving all of Middle-earth. The Ring was taken from Sauron long ago, in a great battle between Sauron’s forces and the allied armies of the Elves and the Men of Westernesse. Gil-galad, the Elven-king, and Elendil, King of Westernesse, were both killed in the battle; however, Elendil’s son, Isildur, cut the Ring from Sauron’s hand and took it for his own. The Ring was soon lost in the Great River, Anduin, when an army of Orcs attacked and killed Isildur.

Many years later, but still ages before Frodo’s time, the Ring resurfaced. Déagol, a young boy of a Hobbit-like race, chanced upon the Ring on the bottom of the river. His friend Sméagol was with him at the time, and Sméagol demanded the Ring as a birthday present. When Déagol refused to hand over the Ring, Sméagol killed him. Sméagol discovered that the Ring made him invisible, and he used it for spying and thievery. Shunned by his family, Sméagol left home and eventually crept into the dark caves under the Misty Mountains, where he slowly became a hunched and miserable creature. That creature was Gollum, who later lost the Ring to Bilbo Baggins. The Ring, according to Gandalf, was trying to get back to its master, Sauron, of its own accord; it betrayed Gollum just as it betrayed Isildur ages earlier. However, the Ring did not count on Bilbo showing up.

Gandalf learned the story of Gollum when he left the Shire after Bilbo’s birthday party. The wizard hunted down Gollum and squeezed much of the information out of him. Then Gandalf made a mistake—he let Gollum go. Gollum made his way back to Mordor, drawn by the power of Sauron. The Dark Lord’s minions captured and questioned Gollum, enabling Sauron to connect the Ring to the Shire, to Hobbits, and even specifically to the name Baggins. Now aware that the Ring still exists, Sauron plans to do everything he can to retrieve it.

Analysis

The chapter “The Shadow of the Past” is very dense, providing a detailed account of past events that works in tandem with the Prologue to provide historical roots for the action of The Lord of the Rings. Whereas the Prologue focuses primarily on the Shire, “The Shadow of the Past” works on the wider scale of all of Middle-earth. Like the myths and legends and epic poems Tolkien studied as a scholar, The Lord of the Rings is full of prophecies and ancient legacies. In Tolkien’s work, the past is an unavoidable force in the present; events that occur in ancient history end up determining the future in unforeseen ways. We learn that the saga of the Ring is an ageless one: the Rings of Power were forged seemingly before time, and were distributed to the various races of Middle-earth—Elves, Dwarves, and Men. Sauron, the Dark Lord, was corrupted by his desire to wield the Ring’s power—a corruption that has since threatened all those who have come in contact with the Ring, from Isildur to Gollum to Bilbo and, by implication, Frodo himself. More than anything else, the Ring represents power. It gives its wearer not only the magical power of invisibility, but also control over all the other Great Rings. This control is what draws people to the Ring and what makes it so hard for its successive owners to give it up. The Ring’s bearers become entranced by and then addicted to the Ring and the power it offers. Ultimately, however, the Ring’s power corrupts—and as it is absolute power, it eventually corrupts absolutely. As Gandalf points out, it is significant that Bilbo is able to give up the Ring of his own accord. Bilbo’s ability to do so bodes well for his prospects for surviving the aftereffects of owning the Ring.

To Frodo and Gandalf and the other characters we meet, the saga of the Ring is an ancient one. However, we must keep in mind that even the events Tolkien describes in The Lord of the Rings—those involving Frodo, which seemingly occur in the present—are themselves ancient and remote, far removed from us as present-day readers. Tolkien hints from time to time that the modern day is separated from Middle-earth not by distance but by time—indeed, Middle-earth and our world are one and the same place, changed drastically and mysteriously by the intervening flow of time. Hobbits, for instance, though rarer now than in the past, still walk among us, but avoid us “with dismay.” Throughout The Lord of the Rings, we repeatedly get the sense that the world described in the novel is a finer, more magical one that has been replaced by our soulless, mechanized era. In this regard, Tolkien’s novel fits into a tradition that includes Homer’s Iliad and Odyssey—epic elegies for a nobler age that take their power from the contrast with the era in which they are told.

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Write a two to three (2-3) page paper discussing the roles and responsibilities of directors in a corporation.

Your assignment must follow these formatting requirements:

  • Be typed, double spaced, using Times New Roman font (size 12), with one-inch margins on all sides; citations and references must follow APA or school-specific format. Check with your professor for any additional instructions.
  • Include a cover page containing the title of the assignment, the student’s name, the professor’s name, the course title, and the date. The cover page and the reference page are not included in the required assignment page length.

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Your best friend’s grandmother is thinking about investing in U.S. bonds, but has been getting suspicious phone calls and letters about such investments. Neither your friend nor her grandmother is very familiar with bonds, except that they are aware that they are supposed to be safe. It is your understanding that the U.S. government does not directly solicit these investments from the public. Since you are studying finance, your friend has asked you for help.

Search the U.S. Department of Treasury website, Treasury Direct (http://www.treasurydirect.gov/tdhome.htm) and find the area about frauds, phonies, and scams. Write a letter to your friend summarizing what you found and give her some ideas for further research.

 

 

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Managing globally has significant differences than managing locally, however leaders in multinational organizations must do both simultaneously and do it within the laws of each nation. You have taken on a client that is expanding into new international areas, doing business in Asia, the Middle East and potentially in South America. Each country has its own set of laws and the cultures are vastly different. You want to help them in preparing to work internationally.

 

Individual Portion 3 – 5 slides with speaker notes of 200 – 250 words per slide (excluding Title and Reference slides) (60 pts.):

 

 

  1. Considerations an American based organization needs to take into account when working in multiple nations with vastly different employment laws.
  2. What current issues in these global locations may affect the success of an American based organization?
  3. In working in vastly different environments, how can the leaders of the organization keep current on the changes that the presence of the organization will bring to each location?

    5 – 7 slides with speaker notes of 200 – 250 words per slide (excluding Title and Reference slides) (65 pts.) :

    Review your team members’ presentations and develop a cohesive single response.

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